Theory:
Ender is zombie leader
Oog is zombie
Vatu + Geek are mafia
Jk died due to hidden mechanic antics
Mafia didn't get a kill last night coz Geek, the killer, was blocked
Zombies also didn't infect anyone last night
= We vote off Ender
= 1z 3t 2m
= 3t (one infected) 2m
= 1z 2t 1m
= 2t 1m (one infected) or 1t 1m = mafia win
= zombies win
orrrr
= We vote off mafia
= 2z 3t 1m
= 1z 3t (one infected) 1m
= z1 2t 1m
= 2t (one infected) 1m or =1t 1m = mafia win
= 1z 1t
= zombies win
oorrrr if fali kills vat off in the night and he's mafia
= We vote off Ender
= 1z 3t 2m
= 3t (one infected) 1m
= 1z 2t
= 2t (one infected) or = 1t = town win
= zombies win
So basically I think whatever the current role situation is, we're more likely as a town to win by lynching Ender, because either he's the lone zombie and this makes it easier for town by far, or even if he's not, we still have more of a chance to win as town by lynching ender rather than lynching mafia (see my previous post)
so provided my conclusions are correct
plan of action: lynch ender, faliara kills vat EVEN if she thinks he's LS because if vat is LS:
= We vote off Ender
= 3t 1LS 2m
= 2t 1LS 2m
= LS wins with mafia, a gun doesn't even have time to go off
= We lose
So we don't gain much from keeping vat alive anyway and potentially win the game from killing him.
Of course this all relies on the fact ender is the only zombie though.
If the situation is this instead (assuming vat is LS but there are 2 zombies, Ender and someone else):
= We vote off Ender
= 2t 1LS 1z 1m
it could end in a variety of ways depending on who kills who. it could be
= 2t 1LS = we win (if zombies and mafia kill each other off)
or
= 2t (one infected) 1LS 1m
= 1t 1LS 1z = we lose
or
= 1LS 1m = we lose
or
other way
etc. etc. etc. it's all based entirely on luck but we still have a chance but we have MORE chance to win if vat is mafia and is dead, and since all this is a guessing game I think we should be super optimistic and go with the idea that we're in the best possible scenario and take a course of action where we assure we have victory, rather than assume the worst and go down a path where we could lose anyway, even though we could have easily won.
also
if we lynch mafia off and vat is LS and we assume there is only 1 zombie
= 1z 3t 1LS 2m
LYNCH
= 1z 3t 1LS 1m
= 3t (one infected) 1LS 1M
= 2t 1z 1LS
= 2t (one infected) 1z 1LS or 1t 1z 1LS = LS wins with zombies
= 1t 1z 1LS = LS wins with zombies
of course guns and mafia killing vatu off instead and other crazy mechanics and stuff could alter results and we COULD still win but
idk after all this crazy mess and following along lines of likely results, lynching ender seems to be our best bet in my opinion, and i think then we should kill vat in the night because even if vat is LS and we don't kill him off
= lynch ender
= 3t 1LS 2m
= 2t 1LS 2m = we lose
hopefully this makes ANY sense
TL;DR I think our best course of action is to lynch Ender and Faliara I'm sorry but I think it's in the best interest of the town for you to kill Vatu off because if it goes wrong we would probably have lost anyway and if it goes right it gives us a massive chance of town winning
So unless there's any major objection I'm gonna vote Ender soon
Ooglie101 also provide your opinion pls