Zambie Mafia - Day 4 - Game Over - Town Victory

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Samlen

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Votecount - Votes Are Swinging

Enderfive - Vatumok (1/4)
Vatumok - Infected_alien (1/4)
Geekenstein - Ltin Enderfive (2/4)
With 7 alive it takes 4 to lynch or no-lynch

1. CaffeinatedKitty - Mad Scientist - Killed Night 1
2. Ooglie101
3. hipman500 - Cop - Killed Night 1
4. Ltin
5. Nottykitten - Doctor - Killed Night 2
6. Infected_alien8_
7. Enderfive
8. Oak63 - Oracle - Killed Night 2
9. Mulbery - Detective - Killed Night 2
10. Runemen4 - Replaced by Geekenstein
11. Timdood3 - Drunk - Killed by Suicide Bomber Day 2
12. Faliara
13. JKangaroo - ? Turned Zombie - Killed Night 3
14. Vatumok
15. MarsKid - Thief - Lynched Day 1
16. Dessern5 - Suicide Bomber - Lynched Day 2
 

Infected_alien8_

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I'm not saying I think she IS, but it's a possibility. This is why I was asking ender if his leader was currently claiming his role, so that out of her and oog I'd know which was the leader, but Ender didn't say if they were, and it didn't seem like a set plan in concrete to claim that specific role, so either one of them could be the leader at this point despite which role they claim. So, if Geek did happen to be the leader, would you still want to lynch her?
 

Ltin

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Didn't he claim samurai? That makes sense. Nobody has cced him.
Besides I figured before if ender was telling the truth that oog was the zombie leader.
 

Infected_alien8_

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Didn't he claim samurai? That makes sense. Nobody has cced him.
Besides I figured before if ender was telling the truth that oog was the zombie leader.
But there are 7 people left, 2 are mafia. If you don't think Vat is mafia then Oog is instead?
And how come you figured oog was the zombie leader if ender was telling the truth? (Oh was it just because Ender said it's inf or oog?)
 

Infected_alien8_

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Theory:

Ender is lone zombie leader

Vat is mafia

One of Oog/Geek is legit town

4 town 2 mafia 1 zombie

Lynch Ender

4 town 2 mafia

3 town 2 mafia

3 town 1 mafia

2 town 1 mafia

2 town

= town wins

and that's even without any guns or fali-vigilante-antics

--

Ltin are you SURE you think vat is the LS and not mafia, and are you sure you think Ender is the lone zombie

pls nobody finish the lynch yet cuz I think I'll have more to say tomorrow, it's almost 7am and suddeny I can think clearly (I think)

--

If Vatu *is* LS and you're right about ender being only zombie and we lynch mafia today, that means:

3 town 1 LS 1 zombie 2 mafia

3 town 1 LS 1 zombie 1 mafia

3 town (but one infected) 1 LS 1 Mafia

2 town 1 zombie 1 LS

2 town (person who isn't fali infected) 1 zombie 1 LS

By this point it's too late for town to win because the zombies outnumber them

Of course it could end up as this though if we switch infection for kills:

3 town 1 LS 1 zombie 2 mafia

3 town 1 LS 1 zombie 1 mafia

2 town 1 LS 1 mafia

where we lynch the mafia with LS and win but it's based on low chance luck ( since Ender is sole zombie in this scenario it's likely he won't kill and will infect), so basically if you're right about everything, I don't think the option you're taking is the one you should be taking



Whereas if we lynch the zombie:

3 town 1 LS 2 mafia 1 zombie

3 town 1 LS 2 mafia

2 town 1 LS 2 mafia, mafia wins

Which means LS will win with the mafia, they literally don't have a choice

Which means Vatu wanting to lynch Ender AND claiming to be LS AND wanting to work with town makes no sense unless blacksmith luckily hands out a gun to the person who wasn't killed, but again that's luck based and too risky.

Which means Vatu is basing his whole plan on the idea Geek is blacksmith, and not only that but he has no idea who the mafia are so it's okay to say "i'll shoot mafia and help you win" but he thinks i'm mafia, so he'll shoot me or demand I be shot and then I die and he wins with mafia instead

So basically even if you're right about Vatu and Ender being alone, town have pretty much confirmed lost by taking action based on that

So why not take a route where town can win if you're wrong





I dunno if this post changes anything, it's literally just me streaming my consciousness since suddenly my head feels clear

going to bed now night
 
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