Theory:
Ender is lone zombie leader
Vat is mafia
One of Oog/Geek is legit town
4 town 2 mafia 1 zombie
Lynch Ender
4 town 2 mafia
3 town 2 mafia
3 town 1 mafia
2 town 1 mafia
2 town
= town wins
and that's even without any guns or fali-vigilante-antics
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Ltin are you SURE you think vat is the LS and not mafia, and are you sure you think Ender is the lone zombie
pls nobody finish the lynch yet cuz I think I'll have more to say tomorrow, it's almost 7am and suddeny I can think clearly (I think)
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If Vatu *is* LS and you're right about ender being only zombie and we lynch mafia today, that means:
3 town 1 LS 1 zombie 2 mafia
3 town 1 LS 1 zombie 1 mafia
3 town (but one infected) 1 LS 1 Mafia
2 town 1 zombie 1 LS
2 town (person who isn't fali infected) 1 zombie 1 LS
By this point it's too late for town to win because the zombies outnumber them
Of course it could end up as this though if we switch infection for kills:
3 town 1 LS 1 zombie 2 mafia
3 town 1 LS 1 zombie 1 mafia
2 town 1 LS 1 mafia
where we lynch the mafia with LS and win but it's based on low chance luck ( since Ender is sole zombie in this scenario it's likely he won't kill and will infect), so basically if you're right about everything, I don't think the option you're taking is the one you should be taking
Whereas if we lynch the zombie:
3 town 1 LS 2 mafia 1 zombie
3 town 1 LS 2 mafia
2 town 1 LS 2 mafia, mafia wins
Which means LS will win with the mafia, they literally don't have a choice
Which means Vatu wanting to lynch Ender AND claiming to be LS AND wanting to work with town makes no sense unless blacksmith luckily hands out a gun to the person who wasn't killed, but again that's luck based and too risky.
Which means Vatu is basing his whole plan on the idea Geek is blacksmith, and not only that but he has no idea who the mafia are so it's okay to say "i'll shoot mafia and help you win" but he thinks i'm mafia, so he'll shoot me or demand I be shot and then I die and he wins with mafia instead
So basically even if you're right about Vatu and Ender being alone, town have pretty much confirmed lost by taking action based on that
So why not take a route where town can win if you're wrong
I dunno if this post changes anything, it's literally just me streaming my consciousness since suddenly my head feels clear
going to bed now night