D
Good morning.
Okay this is hella weird because I'm not exactly sure if the role you claimed is useless after your reveal so if you would explain thatBut I don't want to claim! ;-;
Kind of the same as notty in that once my role is out I'm dead and/or useless
Here's the thing though - someone raised the possibility of a bus driver, but this was disproven by Tim's fake shield, so this argument hinges on whether Tim is lying. With a bus driver lying like that it does make lynching HK or Weak somewhat easier.Comp might've died because of an upgraded kill ability by Notty due to his "Video Games" vice... looking back at the nights it could be possible for Notty to have been the mafia target on night 2 (Poke killed for "Librarian" reveal). That leaves HK's jail failing to protect Inffy from a mafia kill, which could be the result of a mafia role.
Just a possibility.
With that in mind, I do think that nobody is lying about their vice here. For the actual role ability though, I'm far more inclined to believe in Tim due to no visible advantage of claiming such a complex role as a mafia roleblocker, as well as the Day 0 "Designate" slip up.Given my vice, I think there's still a a high chance that there's an anti-town roleblocker out there, as opposed to a bus driver.
By the way, I do think this argument might be a little too speculative. Stranger's behavior could be easily attributed to play style too.Last chance for the final threat to come forward so I can preserve my 100% success rate at hammering in the final 3. Nobody? Ok then...
But after some reading, thinking and analysis, I think I'm ready to make my decision. For a while I toyed with the thought that one of you could be Notty's successor, but 3 mafia in a 19 player game is pretty low. So the logical conclusion is that the final remaining threat is mafia.
So after deducing that, I started compiling data on the setup as a whole to look for patterns.
Of the dead players there are: 9 Town, 3 mafia, 4 third party. Alive we have (with a small margin of error): 2 town, 1 mafia.
First I tried to analyze whether Mulb's vice made more sense as town or mafia by looking at how all of the item roles interacted.
In addition to Ender, the mafia "turn happy pills into items" role, there is a town distributor of each basic item.
Book: Enables town cop, Blocks town doctor, Empowers mafia cop
Video Game: Blocks the town item cop. It's odd that that's all there seems to be, one would expect it to interact with at least two things.
Lip Balm: Blocks the Happy Pill Dealer. [And allegedly makes the town deathcop unstoppable.]
So books have a positive and a negative for town, video games seem to be purely negative, so I suppose it's not unreasonable for lip balm to be purely positive, especially with the limitations of distribution (Hip's smoking vice).
The next pattern I found- and I stumbled across this one, that's the nice thing about compiling data- was in the three vote-based vices.
Design Cultist (Jurgen) - Third party, wins with mafia. Gets a bonus if they're on the day's lynch.
Nightclub Owner (HKC) - Town. Ability requires that a lynch take place.
-Now, what would complete the pattern? A mafia role with a vice that cares about the lynch. And we just so happen to have a role that depends on erratic voting to function.
These things, along with a non-setup dependent points, bring me to be pretty certain Stranger is our remaining threat.
Like both of your entrances to the day. Stranger, you came in seeming very panicked while Mulb's initial reaction was very similar to my own "Oh, the game's not over? Wow, I guess I have to think about stuff now"
The last thing I'm going to mention in this post: Stranger's vote initially in the day. Just kind of...Throwing it out there with a literal "Fuck it."
I feel that it was a fishing attempt to see if I was maybe third party and could eke out a joint win. But didn't want to leave the window open for very long in case I was, in fact, town and question these shenanigans.
Both the apparently inactivity from the start of the game and the vote stalling now is an unfortunate byproduct of vastly different timezones.Timdood3 may I ask what makes you think Mulb is being truthful?
Perhaps this is just my bias speaking given that I already see Mulb as scum, but I find odd that they went from being extremely quiet and lurky on d0/d1 to very vocal and typing out multi-paragraph analyses of the game. To me it feels like they're stalling until one of us votes for the other one so they can hammer easily.
It doesn't. They're just similarly themed vices.So I don't really see how my vice would form any sort of pattern to benefit HK or Jurgen.
Because I was afraid of the possibility that once I claimed, whatever sources of happy pills there were would just keep giving them to me and I'd never get to do anything.Okay this is hella weird because I'm not exactly sure if the role you claimed is useless after your reveal so if you would explain that
Nothing in my last post hinges on Mulb at all. The only mention is his entrance into today.@Timdood3 may I ask what makes you think Mulb is being truthful?
It doesn't. They're just similarly themed vices.So I don't really see how my vice would form any sort of pattern to benefit HK or Jurgen.
Because I was afraid of the possibility that once I claimed, whatever sources of happy pills there were would just keep giving them to me and I'd never get to do anything.Okay this is hella weird because I'm not exactly sure if the role you claimed is useless after your reveal so if you would explain that
Nothing in my last post hinges on Mulb at all. The only mention is his entrance into today.@Timdood3 may I ask what makes you think Mulb is being truthful?
pffft ?For the Gumshoe Detective rolename claim on the final day, and then pretending to not know what the reference is afterward.